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Among other things, national team matches are also distinguished by a wide range of opponents. That is, a statistically average..
TOP MATCHES
For many people, handicap as a kind of betting is interesting, because it makes balances between teams. And it's always interesting to consider whether the bookmaker correctly balances them, because it offers odds of the main handicap approximately from 1.8 to 2.1
But there are many difficulties that arise with stats of the handicap breakdown by teams. The most common questions - where is possible to get it, how to determine whether a handicap was broken and so on.
One of the tools of the Corner-stats.com service is a tool for breaking handicap by teams. It can be found on the page of a tournament, match or a particular team.
Today the site of Corner-stats.com uses this tool to find mistakes in the correctness of determining the main handicap (that is, handicap herewith the odds are maximally close to each other in the range of 1.8 to 2.1) by the bookmaker. In principle, we can say that the average offs for such handicap will be in the range of 1.90-1.95.
Let’s look on French League 1.
We are looking for a team that would have had many matches (more than 40) and the bookmaker would have missed with the definition of handicap systematically: that is, the quantity of breaking the main handicap * 1.8 / the number of matches is more than 1.
In order to do this, take the 2016-2018 seasons and use the breakdown tool (compare P1_handicap columns - how many times the team broke the main handicap and P2_handicap - how many times did it fail to break the main handicap and the search criteria
(П1_handicap) *1,8 - quantity of matches + Х_handicap > 1:
There are the candidates:
# |
Team |
М |
П1_handicap |
Х_handicap |
П2_handicap |
Criteria |
1 |
Monaco |
45 |
29 |
3 |
13 |
10,20 |
2 |
Nice |
45 |
26,5 |
6,5 |
12 |
9,20 |
3 |
Bordeaux |
45 |
20,5 |
12 |
12,5 |
3,90 |
4 |
Nantes |
45 |
20 |
9 |
16 |
0,00 |
5 |
Rein |
45 |
19,5 |
9,5 |
16 |
-0,40 |
6 |
Lyon |
44 |
20,5 |
5,5 |
18 |
-1,60 |
7 |
Olympique |
45 |
20,5 |
5,5 |
19 |
-2,60 |
8 |
Mets |
45 |
19,5 |
8,5 |
17 |
-1,40 |
9 |
Dijon |
45 |
19,5 |
7 |
18,5 |
-2,90 |
10 |
Saint-Etienne |
45 |
18,5 |
7,5 |
19 |
-4,20 |
And again there are between the candidates of Monaco and Nice, but today we will pay attention to Bordeaux.
Bordeaux plays with PSG. Bookmaker Bet365 defined the main handicap of Bordeaux that is +2.25 to 2.03:
There are some words about PSG. Its stats at 45 matches in 2016-2018 is following:
Quantity of matches taking only the income of the game: |
Quantity of matches, taking only handicap |
||
Win |
33 |
Breaking handicap |
18 |
Draw |
7 |
Draw on handicap |
5,5 |
Defeat |
5 |
Not breaking handicap |
21,5 |
.
These figures illustrate is that PSG plays effectively, gaining points, but not breaking the odds, but potentially, according to the bookmaker, PSG should score more, but it does not..
Team site of Corner-stats.com, puts on the odds +2.25 on goals on Bordeaux at the odds of 2.03 at 1xbet.